Tài liệu miễn phí Đầu tư Bất động sản
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Private real estate investment is a typical one-shot decision problem for
personal investors due to the huge investment expense and the fear of
substantial loss. There is only one outcome for a one-shot decision problem.
The private real estate investment problem is analyzed within a one-shot
decision framework. The procedure for a one-shot decision consists of two
steps. In the first step, for each alternative, some states of nature, which are
called focus points, are selected amongst all states of nature based on the
attitudes of decision makers on uncertainty. In the second step, alternatives are
evaluated based...
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The purpose of this study is to examine a current land development decision
within a one-shot decision framework. The main contributions of this study
are as follows. A private real estate investment decision model is proposed
within a one-shot decision framework, which is an innovative study on
analyzing real estate investment problems from an economic viewpoint by
using tools from the possibility theory. The analysis in this paper
demonstrates the relation between the amount of uncertainty and the
investment scale for different types of personal investors. The proposed model
provides insights into personal real estate investment decisions and important
policy...
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Possibilities can be explained from several semantic aspects. One way to
explain possibility is ease of achievement. Another way is plausibility; that is,
the propensity of an event to occur, which relates to the concept of “potential
surprise”. A third way to explain possibility is logical consistency with
available information. Finally, possibility can be explained as preference,
referring to the willingness of an agent to make a decision. Possibility is
dually related to necessity in the sense that “not A” being not possible means
that A is necessary. A semantic analysis of necessity can be done through
reference to...
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The topic of real assets is currently being intensively discussed in the media and
among investors. The turbulence in the financial markets since the start of the
subprime crisis in 2007, together with latent worries about inflation resulting from
unorthodox financial policies, mean that investors are looking for alternatives to
investments in stocks or bonds. Preservation of capital has taken on a new
significance. Gold has benefitted from this in the last few years. The gold price
has almost trebled, from just over 630 USD per ounce at the start of 2007, to
almost 1,800 USD in February 2012 (see...
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It is not easy to give a clear definition of real assets. The equivalent German
term Sachwert refers only to the reproduction value (replacement cost) of a
good. In an investment concept, a real asset is defined as a good that is
independent from variations in the value of money.
1
This definition alone
provides sufficient motive for the integration of real assets in portfolios. In times
of high inflation, real assets should protect financial resources against loss of
purchasing power.
It is by no means clear what goods should be included in the real assets group.
A current survey...
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Real assets definitely play a significant part in the portfolios of both private and
institutional investors. The magnitude of the capital and current investments in
real assets can, however, be only roughly estimated as investors – as described
– can choose different forms of investment, the market volume of which is often
not transparent. The purpose of the investment is also not always clear. For
instance, an owner-occupied property is certainly a real asset investment.
However, the house owner does not necessarily purchase or build a home with
the aim of making a profit. It rather represents a permanent asset...
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The markets for open-end and closed-end funds provide an indication of the
general development and trends of investment in real assets. The Verband für
Geschlossene Fonds (VGF) estimates that the assets of closed-end funds in
Germany are EUR 199 bn (as at 2011). EUR 99 bn of this is invested as equity
capital. In 2011, EUR 9.9 bn passed into real assets through closed-end funds
in Germany (down 8% yoy, see Fig. 5). The volume has considerably declined
since the start of the financial and economic crisis and, since 2009, has been at
a low level. Last year, private investors...
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Investors favour real assets as a hedge against rising inflation rates. Whereas,
in an environment of higher inflation, financial assets such as bonds lose value
in real terms, the real prices of real assets remain stable or increase. During the
last 15 years, inflation rates in the industrialised countries have fluctuated at
moderate levels of up to 3% p.a. (see Fig. 11), although in some countries they
have been considerably less. In such an environment, investment in real assets
with a view to inflation protection typically offers hardly any advantages. For the
next two years, in our basic scenario we...
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In the last few years, the financial markets have been characterised by crises
that have led to increased volatility (see Fig. 12). In view of this market
turbulence, for numerous investors preservation of capital has become an
important objective. To many investors, physical gold is the epitome of
insurance against geopolitical and economic risks, as well as those emanating
from the financial system. The historically high gold price impressively reflects
this. However, many people are also reassured by real estate – in particular a
private home of their own – which is regarded as “concrete gold”. However, by
no means...
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This connection can be shown empirically, e.g. for commodities. Gorton and
Rouwenhorst show that the yields on commodities futures have a negative
correlation with the yields on long-dated bonds and – for long holding periods –
with equities. Commodities futures could therefore be employed effectively in
order to diversify equity and bond portfolios.
4
On the other hand, according to
Yee’s analysis, high correlation coefficients are evident in a comparison of the
yields on financial assets with those of metal or energy producers or with
REITs.
5
The connection with the stock market therefore predominates in this
case. Investments in real...
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Diversification of the portfolio can only reduce the so-called non-systematic risk,
however. The systematic risk, i.e. the interdependence of returns on changes in
the overall market and/or shocks cannot be eliminated. For instance, the returns
on equities and investments in specific real assets are necessarily positively
correlated by the underlying economic determinants. The return on an invest-
ment in equities depends e.g. on company profits and therefore also on growth.
The return on investments in ships is dependent on inter alia, global economic
growth and the increase in world trade. Depending on the target market of the
investment, a positive correlation...
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Investigations of historic yields are therefore mostly concerned with homo-
genous goods such as commodities, for which indices are available. These
show that certain real assets can achieve higher yields than investments in
equities or bonds. A comparison of the average historic yields on raw materials
over the last 10 years (2002 to 2012) shows that investments in commodity
futures have achieved double-digit annual returns (see Fig. 15). This consider-
ation of averages over a long period however hides the fact that the profitability
of individual investment vehicles naturally depends on the time the investment is
made. For example, investors in aluminium...
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There is also a good dataset for open-end real estate funds. Over the last 10
years, investors in this asset class have been able to achieve a higher average
annual return than on investments in equity funds (see Fig. 16). However,
compared with most bond funds, open-end real estate funds come off worse.
This relationship has also generally been maintained over longer periods of up
to 20 years: however it is probably also be affected by the poor performance of
the stock market in the last few years. On a 30-year average, equity funds with
an investment focus in Germany...
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In view of risks described and the generally rather complex trends of the
relevant markets, a well-informed investor is a prerequisite for an investment in
real assets. For example, the selection and management of a real asset portfolio
necessitates extensive knowledge of the markets concerned and, in some
circumstances, operative capabilities. From the investor’s point of view, lack of
expertise is often a barrier to the choice of appropriate investments. In this
respect, investors’ experience with specific investment vehicles and knowledge
of the relevant products also play a part. The expertise of the asset manager is
of major importance in...
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Real asset investors also need a longer investment horizon, as investments in
real assets normally require longer commitment of capital. Ship funds typically
have a life of 15 to 20 years; aircraft funds more than 15 years. From the
investor's point of view, it is therefore important to be able to assess the
potential of the investment vehicle reliably. In addition, private investors mainly
invest larger amounts. In 2011, the average subscription for investments in
closed-end funds across all asset classes in Germany was EUR 30,575 (up
from just over EUR 26,000 in 2010). Wealthy private clients with high investment...
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There are varied possibilities for investment in real assets. One of the most
liquid segments, which is accessible through the financial markets, is the
commodity market. As well as precious metals, investors also focus on industrial
and agricultural raw materials. It is relatively easy for investors to inform them-
selves about these homogenous markets. However, in this study we want to
concentrate on real assets that are mainly not traded on financial markets but
for which fund solutions or direct investment vehicles are dominant. In order to
make investment decisions in these inhomogeneous and, on first impression
often opaque markets, investors...
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From a tax perspective, conventional wisdom
discourages owning real estate in a C-Corporation.
After all, why pay corporate tax rates when you
can shield yourself from personal liability and
corporate tax using an LLC? However, owning
real estate in an LLC gives rise to a host of other
questions such as: how could one utilize an LLC
to bring in thousands of marginal investors? Are
potential real estate investors going to be deterred
due to non-resident state filing requirements? Will
tax exempt investors be deterred due to Unrelated
Business Taxable Income (UBTI) generated from
owning leveraged real estate through an...
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This paper introduces Shariah-compliant investment by reviewing its key terms and
concepts, assessing its market size and potential, and outlining its opportunities and
challenges for investors and financiers.
Shariah-compliant investment represents a series of ethical financial transactions that
are organised in accordance with Islamic law. The range of investment opportunities
complying with Muslim religious beliefs has historically been fairly limited. Islamic
banking is distinguished by a ban of interest-based transactions, an emphasis on
equitable contracts, the linking of finance to productivity, the desirability of profit
sharing, and the prohibition of speculation and uncertainty in business contracts....
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At the same time, the capital available for deployment into Shariah-compliant
investments is vast and growing. At the heart of the Middle East, the countries of the
Gulf Cooperation Council – Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, the UAE, Bahrain, Qatar, and
Oman – form a market of 38 million residents (about the same population as
California) with a combined annual GDP that grew 6.4% in 2007 to reach US$840
billion. Add to this another 430 million Muslims living outside the Middle East – many
of whom reside in prosperous or growing economies such as India, Malaysia, or...
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The emergence of Islamic banking in recent years is one of the most important trends in
the financial world. There has always been a demand among Muslims for financial
products and services that conform to the Shariah (Islamic law). With the development of
viable Islamic alternatives to conventional finance, Muslims are increasingly able to
participate in the financial world without bearing an economic penalty.
The Islamic banking industry today is valued at several hundred billion dollars (estimates
vary)
1
, and consists of more than 300 financial institutions in and outside the Muslim world.
This emerging industry is the...
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It is a young and fast-growing industry that continues to evolve and expand both financially
and geographically. This industry’s vast market includes devout Muslims in indigenous
Muslim societies as well as in Muslim minorities of non-Muslim countries. Furthermore, it
offers a broad appeal beyond its traditional Muslim base: non-Muslim individuals and
communities that seek ethical financial solutions have also been attracted to Islamic
banking.
The first modern Islamic financial institutions emerged in the 1960s and 1970s. Since then,
Islamic banking has spread to a large number of Muslim countries, including the Gulf
Cooperation Council (GCC)
2
, the...
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This is an industry that is still evolving, developing, and growing. It has gone from
commercial banking to syndicated transactions and equities, and more recently, into debt
issuance and structured products. Its sophistication and product offerings have developed
along with this change. At an earlier stage, industry growth was in part a reflection of
economic growth in the Islamic world, fuelled primarily by oil wealth. This created a
growing middle-wealth segment and hence made banking a necessary service to the larger
segment of the population. In the past several years, increased awareness about Islamic
banking...
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More specifically, Shariah-compliant products (which include banking assets and asset
management) were valued at around US$450 billion (ex-Iran) in 20064
. With growth of
23.5% p.a. over the past five years, Shariah compliant products are expected to grow at
17% p.a. to exceed US$1 trillion in value by 2010 (ex-Iran).
The growth of international property investment has accelerated during this decade, due to
(1) the maturity of real estate as an asset class, (2) increasing allocation to real estate by
institutional investors, and (3) better returns in both absolute and relative terms, compared
to other asset classes5
....
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Sunnah of the Prophet Muhammad, and it governs all aspects of personal and collective
life. Overall, Shariah investment must be carried out in accordance with the fundamental
principles of Islamic law. A Shariah board of Islamic scholars advises the financial
institution in the development of Shariah-compliant products.
The most distinctive element of Islamic banking is the prohibition of interest, whether
nominal or excessive, simple or compound, fixed or floating. Other elements include
the emphasis on equitable contracts, the linking of finance to productivity, the desirability of
profit sharing, and the prohibition of gambling...
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The most fundamental aspect of Shariah compliance is the prohibition of any form of usury,
or riba6
. Any amount in a contract of loan or debt – regardless of size – that exceeds the
principal is riba. Such contracts are prohibited by the Quran, regardless of whether the loan
is taken for the purpose of consumption or for some production activity. This indicates that
any forms of receiving or paying interest are not allowed, because Islam defines all forms
of interest as usury.
The rationale behind the prohibition of interest in Islam suggests an economic system...
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In order to be deemed Shariah-compliant, an Islamic product must be overseen by a
Shariah advisory board or Shariah supervisory committee of renowned Islamic scholars.
Once this board satisfies itself that a proposed product and structure is compliant with
Shariah principles, it issues a fatwa (decree) on the proposal. The product can be
marketed only when the fatwa of Shariah compliance is issued. Upon the launch of the
product, the Shariah advisory board continues to monitor the product on a regular basis to
ensure compliance, and in effect, to act as “Shariah auditors” for the product. ...
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In the simplest Ijara agreements, the financier acquires an asset and leases it to the
purchaser. The purchaser makes lease payments representing the agreed profit, which
may be determined using a benchmark, such as EURIBOR, plus the financier’s margin.
One element that differentiates an Ijara from a conventional lease is the ongoing risk the
financier must take in relation to the asset. In a typical Ijara structure, the financier remains
responsible for insurance and non-day-to-day maintenance of the asset.
Murabahah is a transaction under which the asset is purchased by the financier and...
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Real estate professionals attending Ernst & Young’s conference were
almost equally split in their views of the Eurozone’s future. Asked whether
the Eurozone would survive in its current form for the next 12 months,
48% thought it would not.
Michael Portillo, keynote speaker at this year’s conference, said politicians
and policy advisors will be highly focused on the Eurozone’s problems during
2012. “There’s an enormous amount of political capital invested in the Euro,
so huge amounts will be expended in trying to save it.”
Ernst & Young’s economic forecasting group, ITEM Club, assumes an
orderly resolution of the Eurozone crisis will be...
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A reverse Murabahah transaction can be used to provide a purchaser with a cash lump
sum. Under a reverse Murabahah the purchaser acquires the asset from the financier and
then sells it either back to the original owner or another party. The original purchaser
therefore receives a cash lump sum but remains obliged under the original transaction to
make repayment on the asset purchase plus the agreed margin (and as in a Murabahah
transaction the payments are due in instalments).
For all types of Murabahah transactions it is a key element that the financier acquires legal
title to the...
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Demand for Islamic products has spread across the world, and well beyond the Middle
East. There are more than 430 million Muslims outside the traditional Middle East (a
region that stretches from the Mediterranean to Pakistan), including 190 million in
Indonesia, 73 million in Turkey, 150 million in India, 20 million in Europe, 7 million in the US,
and 17 million in North Africa, It is reasonable to assume that many of these 430 non-
Middle Eastern Muslims could be interested in Shariah-compliant products. In India, for
instance, the government has recommended the establishment of a framework for...
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