Peak load forecasting for Vietnam national power system to 2030
Peak load forecasting for Vietnam national power system to 2030
Using the feed-forward back propagation (FFBP) method, a modified model of neural network, this paper will introduce a new long-term prediction approach for the maximum load power of Vietnam. Results from simulation indicate a considerable correlation of three parameters regarding electric power consumption demand, GDP growth rate, and maximum load power demand; the mean error of suggested model is about 1.92%. This is a reasonable range of mean error for a long-term prediction where the correla