World investment prospects to 2011: Foreign direct investment and the challenge of political risk

World investment prospects to 2011 Foreign direct investment and the challenge of political risk Written with the Columbia Program on International Investment WORLD INVESTMENT PROSPECTS World investment prospects to 2011 Foreign direct investment and the challenge of political risk © The Economist Intelligence Unit 1 The Economist Intelligence Unit The Economist Intelligence Unit is a specialist publisher serving companies establishing and managing operations across national borders. For over 50 years it has been a source of information on business developments, economic and political trends, government regulations and corporate practice worldwide. The Economist Intelligence Unit delivers its information in four ways: through its digital portfolio, where the latest analysis is updated daily; through printed subscription products ranging from newsletters to annual reference works; through research reports; and by organising seminars and presentations. The firm is a member of The Economist Group. London The Economist Intelligence Unit 26 Red Lion Square London WC1R 4HQ United Kingdom Tel: (44.20) 7576 8000 Fax: (44.20) 7576 8476 E-mail: london@eiu.com New York The Economist Intelligence Unit The Economist Building 111 West 57th Street New York NY 10019, US Tel: (1.212) 554 0600 Fax: (1.212) 586 1181/2 E-mail: newyork@eiu.com Hong Kong The Economist Intelligence Unit 6001, Central Plaza 18 Harbour Road Wanchai Hong Kong Tel: (852) 2585 3888 Fax: (852) 2802 7638 E-mail: hongkong@eiu.com Website: www.eiu.com Electronic delivery This publication can be viewed by subscribing online at www.store.eiu.com Columbia Program on International Investment The Columbia Program on International Investment (CPII), headed by Dr. Karl P. Sauvant, is a joint undertaking of the Columbia Law School, under Dean David M. Schizer, and The Earth Institute at Columbia University, directed by Professor Jeffrey D. Sachs. It seeks to be a leader on issues related to foreign direct investment (FDI) in the global economy. The CPII focuses on the analysis and teaching of the implications of FDI for public policy and international investment law. Its objectives are to analyze important topical policy-oriented issues related to FDI, develop and disseminate practical approaches and solutions, and provide students with a challenging learning environment. Columbia Program on International Investment Columbia Law School - Earth Institute Columbia University 435 West 116th Street, Rm. JGH 639 New York, NY 10027 Tel: +1 (212) 854-0689 Fax: +1 (212) 854-7946 CPII@law.columbia.edu http://www.cpii.columbia.edu Copyright (c) 2007 The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited. All rights reserved. Neither this publication nor any part of it may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise, without the prior permission of The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited. All information in this report is verified to the best of the author’s and the publisher’s ability. However, the Economist Intelligence Unit and the Columbia Program on International Investment do not accept responsibility for any loss arising from reliance on it. ISBN 0 86218 205 0 Symbols for tables “n/a” means not available; “-” means not applicable WORLD INVESTMENT PROSPECTS Contents 4 List of tables 5 The authors 6 Executive summary 17 PART 1: World investment prospects to 2011 18 Global foreign direct investment to 2011 Laza Kekic 67 Regulatory risk and the growth of FDI Karl P Sauvant 80 Addressing political risk in the energy sector Jeffrey D Sachs 84 The investors’ view: economic opportunities versus political risks in 2007-11 Matthew Shinkman 107 PART 2: Country profiles Developed countries 108 United States of America 110 Canada 112 Belgium 114 France 116 Germany 118 Italy 120 Netherlands 122 Spain 124 Sweden 126 United Kingdom Emerging markets Developing Asia 128 China 130 Hong Kong 132 India 134 Malaysia 136 Singapore 138 South Korea 140 Taiwan 142 Thailand 144 Vietnam Latin America 146 Argentina 148 Brazil 150 Chile 152 Colombia 154 Mexico 156 Venezuela Eastern Europe and Turkey 158 Azerbaijan 160 Bulgaria 162 Czech Republic 164 Hungary 166 Kazakhstan 168 Poland 170 Romania 172 Russia 174 Slovakia 176 Ukraine 178 Turkey Middle East and Africa 180 Algeria 182 Egypt 184 Nigeria 186 Qatar 188 South Africa 190 United Arab Emirates 193 PART 3: Appendices 195 World classification 196 Data sources and definitions 197 Select market and foreign direct investment data 235 Business environment rankings methodology 237 Business rankings questionnaire © The Economist Intelligence Unit 3 ... - tailieumienphi.vn