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- SFC SGH TMS TNA
LS KI VONG 0.0771% 0.3409% 0.0368% 0.0363%
DO DAO DONG 3.6226% 3.3319% 2.6646% 2.8500%
V
MA TRAN HPS
LS_SFC LS_SGH LS_TMS LS_TNA
LS_SFC 0 0 0 0
LS_SGH 0 0 0 0
LS_TMS 0 0 0 0
LS_TNA 0 0 0 0
LS_VTC 0 0 0 0
DANH MUC w1 w2 w3 w4
P1 20% 30% 20% 10%
P2 30% 30% 20% 10%
P3 35% 25% 20% 10%
P4 25% 30% 30% 10%
P5 35% 15% 10% 18%
P6 20% 40% 25% 10%
P7 30% 30% 15% 10%
P8 20% 15% 10% 10%
P9 20% 30% 30% 10%
P10 20% 10% 20% 30%
V-1
984.3 -123.07 -239.56 -286.33
-123.07 1079.55 -65.21 -259.17
-239.56 -65.21 1735.77 -362.68
-286.33 -259.17 -362.68 1706.62
-155.28 -182.9 -175.36 -261.55
A 2375.5 H 0.01
B 2.04
C 0.01
D 26.37
C*V-1[1]
g 0.071 2.32
-0.056 5.78
0.421 11.48
0.300 6.9
0.265 4.07
h 0.05*h 0.05 A*V-1*r
6.005 0.3 526.14
- 285.392 14.27 8444.07
-52.587 -2.63 436.9
-86.004 -4.3 -1171.61
-152.806 -7.64 -3383.74
p1 p2 p3
g h 0.21000% 0.10000% 0.05000%
0.071 6.005 0.08325 0.07664 0.07364
-0.056 285.392 0.54304 0.22911 0.08642
0.421 -52.587 0.31068 0.36853 0.39482
0.300 -86.004 0.11935 0.21395 0.25696
0.265 -152.806 -0.05632 0.11176 0.18817
1.00000 1.00000 1.00000
MVP p1 p2 p3
PSAI 0.042% 0.056% 0.042% 0.043%
DO DD 2.052% 2.365% 2.056% 2.080%
LS 0.086% 0.21000% 0.10000% 0.05000%
R(P) khi co rf
rf 0.023%
w1 20%
w2 25%
w3 15%
w4 20%
w5 10%
w6 10%
20% 25% 15%
sắp xếplai
dmuc bien duyen khi co ts fi rr p5
ls 0.01000%
do đao dong 2.175%
ls 0.010%
ĐƯ
0.900%
0.800%
0.700%
0.600%
0.500%
LS
0.400%
0.300%
- ĐƯ
0.900%
0.800%
0.700%
0.600%
0.500%
LS
0.400%
T F
0.828% 0.023% 0.300%
do dd 7.337% 0
0.200%
r 0.828% 0.023%
0.100%
0.000%
0.000% 1.000% 2.000% 3.000
Dependent Variable: LS_SFC
Method: Least Squares
Date: 03/27/09 Time: 07:13
Sample(adjusted): 3/02/2006 2/29/2008
Included observations: 485
Excluded observations: 37 after adjusting endpoints
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic
LS_VNINDEX 0.92 0.07 12.75
C 2.67E-05 0 0.02
R-squared 0.25 Mean dependent var
Adjusted R-squared 0.25 S.D. dependent var
S.E. of regression 0.03 Akaike info criterion
Sum squared resid 0.48 Schwarz criterion
Log likelihood 991.26 F-statistic
Durbin-Watson stat 1.89 Prob(F-statistic)
- Dependent Variable: LS_SGH
Method: Least Squares
Date: 03/27/09 Time: 22:17
Sample(adjusted): 3/03/2006 2/29/2008
Included observations: 474
Excluded observations: 47 after adjusting endpoints
Convergence achieved after 8 iterations
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic
LS_VNINDEX 0.53 0.07 7.72
C 0 0 1.35
AR(1) 0.33 0.04 7.51
R-squared 0.24 Mean dependent var
Adjusted R-squared 0.23 S.D. dependent var
S.E. of regression 0.03 Akaike info criterion
Sum squared resid 0.4 Schwarz criterion
Log likelihood 1003.01 F-statistic
Durbin-Watson stat 1.97 Prob(F-statistic)
Inverted AR Roots 0.33
Dependent Variable: LS_TMS
Method: Least Squares
Date: 03/27/09 Time: 22:19
Sample(adjusted): 3/03/2006 2/29/2008
Included observations: 474
Excluded observations: 47 after adjusting endpoints
Convergence achieved after 4 iterations
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic
LS_VNINDEX 0.74 0.05 14.24
C 0 0 -0.29
AR(1) 0.1 0.05 2.26
R-squared 0.31 Mean dependent var
Adjusted R-squared 0.31 S.D. dependent var
S.E. of regression 0.02 Akaike info criterion
Sum squared resid 0.23 Schwarz criterion
Log likelihood 1135.27 F-statistic
Durbin-Watson stat 2.01 Prob(F-statistic)
Inverted AR Roots 0.1
- Dependent Variable: LS_TNA
Method: Least Squares
Date: 03/27/09 Time: 22:19
Sample(adjusted): 3/03/2006 2/29/2008
Included observations: 474
Excluded observations: 47 after adjusting endpoints
Convergence achieved after 8 iterations
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic
LS_VNINDEX 0.53 0.06 8.58
C 0 0 -0.08
AR(1) 0.11 0.05 2.33
R-squared 0.16 Mean dependent var
Adjusted R-squared 0.15 S.D. dependent var
S.E. of regression 0.03 Akaike info criterion
Sum squared resid 0.32 Schwarz criterion
Log likelihood 1055.16 F-statistic
Durbin-Watson stat 2.02 Prob(F-statistic)
Inverted AR Roots 0.11
Dependent Variable: LS_VTC
Method: Least Squares
Date: 03/27/09 Time: 22:20
Sample(adjusted): 3/03/2006 2/29/2008
Included observations: 474
Excluded observations: 47 after adjusting endpoints
Convergence achieved after 10 iterations
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic
LS_VNINDEX 0.42 0.07 5.85
C 0 0 -0.45
AR(1) 0.32 0.04 7.34
R-squared 0.19 Mean dependent var
Adjusted R-squared 0.18 S.D. dependent var
S.E. of regression 0.03 Akaike info criterion
- Sum squared resid 0.45 Schwarz criterion
Log likelihood 978.85 F-statistic
Durbin-Watson stat 2.02 Prob(F-statistic)
Inverted AR Roots 0.32
thuật toán EGP
tai san r ngang beta psai nhieu
sgh 0.3409% 0.53 0.086%
sfc 0.0771% 0.92 0.069%
tna 0.0363% 0.53 0.069%
tms 0.0368% 0.74 0.049%
vtc -0.0478% 0.42 0.095%
40
Series: LS_VNINDEX
Sample 3/02/2006 2/29/2008
Observations 487
30
Mean 0.000771
Median 0.000000
Maximum 0.045013
20
Minimum -0.050010
Std. Dev. 0.019769
Skewness -0.034018
Kurtosis 2.848879
10
Jarque-Bera 0.557344
Probability 0.756788
0
-0.050 -0.025 0.000 0.025
mo hinh var voi ls ts VT
N-1
r¯ σ
CO FIEU VAR (1 NGÀY,5%)
SFC 0.0771% 3.6226% -5.9773%
SGH 0.3409% 3.3319% -5.4976%
TMS 0.0368% 2.6646% -4.3966%
TNA 0.0363% 2.8500% -4.7025%
VTC -0.0478% 3.3979% -5.6065%
mo hinh var voi danh muc
- σ²
p r(p)
1 0.117% 0.050%
2 0.132% 0.050%
3 0.118% 0.051%
4 0.134% 0.047%
5 0.078% 0.053%
6 0.162% 0.049%
7 0.127% 0.051%
8 0.052% 0.056%
9 0.128% 0.046%
10 0.058% 0.046%
ß w*ß η w^2*η
p1
20% 0.53 10.6062% 0.086% 0.00342%
25% 0.92 22.9798% 0.069% 0.00429%
20% 0.53 10.6347% 0.069% 0.00275%
10% 0.74 7.4373% 0.049% 0.00049%
25% 0.42 10.6031% 0.095% 0.00592%
62.261% 0.017%
p2
30% 15.909% 0.008%
30% 27.576% 0.006%
20% 10.635% 0.003%
10% 7.437% 0.000%
10% 4.241% 0.001%
65.798% 0.018%
p3
35% 18.5609% 0.0105%
25% 22.9798% 0.0043%
20% 10.6347% 0.0027%
10% 7.4373% 0.0005%
10% 4.2412% 0.0009%
63.854% 0.019%
p4
25% 13.2578% 0.005%
30% 27.5757% 0.006%
30% 15.9520% 0.006%
10% 7.4373% 0.000%
5% 2.1206% 0.000%
66.3434% 0.018%
p5
35% 18.561% 0.010%
15% 13.788% 0.002%
- 10% 5.317% 0.001%
18% 13.387% 0.002%
22% 9.331% 0.005%
60.384% 0.019%
he so sharp
r(p) rf sharp
σ(p)
p1 0.1167% 1.7895% 0.0111% 5.9029%
p2 0.1316% 1.8704% 6.4430%
p3 0.1184% 1.8679% 5.7454%
p4 0.1338% 1.8877% 6.5012%
p5 0.0778% 1.8203% 3.6652%
vnindex 0.0771% 1.9769% 3.3386%
he so jensen rp¯ rp thuc te
T
- VTC P1
-0.0478% w1 20%
3.3979% w2 25%
w3 20%
w4 10%
w5 25%
LS_VTC
0
0
0
0
0
w5 ls kv
25% 0.1167%
10% 0.1316%
10% 0.1184%
5% 0.1338%
22% 0.0778%
5% 0.1622%
15% 0.1274%
45% 0.0524%
10% 0.1276%
20% 0.0582%
r ngang
0.0771%
-155.28 0.3409%
-182.9 0.0368%
-175.36 0.0363%
-261.55 -0.0478%
1091.48
B*V-1*r-
0.45 1.86
7.26 -1.48
0.38 11.11
-1.01 7.91
-2.91 6.98
B*V-1*[1] 0.04
367.76 158.38 0.24
- 917.46 7526.61 11.42
1823.79 -1386.88 -2.1
1096.56 -2268.17 -3.44
646.2 -4029.94 -6.11
MVP
r 0.086%
PSAI 0.042%
p4 p5 p6 p7
0.18000% 0.01000% 0.11000% 0.03000%
0.08145 0.07124 0.07724 0.07244
0.45743 -0.02774 0.25765 0.02934
0.32646 0.41586 0.36327 0.40534
0.14515 0.29136 0.20535 0.27416
-0.01048 0.24929 0.09648 0.21873
1.00000 1.00000 1.00000
p4 p5 p6 p7
0.050% 0.047% 0.043% 0.045%
2.237% 2.175% 2.064% 2.119%
0.18000% 0.01000% 0.11000% 0.03000%
phsai 0.0381%
lskv 0.21964500%
20% 10% 10%
p9 p7 p3 p10
0.01500% 0.030% 0.050% 0.06000%
2.159% 2.11941% 2.07996% 2.067%
0.015% 0.030% 0.050% 0.060%
ĐƯỜNG CML
Row 112
- ĐƯỜNG CML
Row 112
00% 1.000% 2.000% 3.000% 4.000% 5.000% 6.000% 7.000% 8.000%
ĐỘ DD
hso beta
dolech chuan nhieu
dolechchuan cua ts
Prob.
ti le rr he thong trong tong rr
0
0.99 r ngang
0
0.04
-4.08
-4.06
162.48
0
ERB_sfc 0
- hso beta
dolech chuan nhieu
dolechchuan cua ts
ti le rr he thong trong tong rr
Prob.
0 r ngang
0.18
0
0
0.03 ERB_sgh
-4.22
-4.19
72.94
0
hso beta
dolech chuan nhieu
dolechchuan cua ts
Prob. ti le rr he thong trong tong rr
0
0.77
0.02 r ngang
0
0.03
-4.78
-4.75 ERB_tms
106.51 C_
0
- hso beta
dolech chuan nhieu
dolechchuan cua ts
ti le rr he thong trong tong rr
Prob.
r ngang
0
0.94
0.02
ERB_tna
0
0.03
-4.44
-4.41
44.13
0
hso beta
dolech chuan nhieu
dolechchuan cua ts
ti le rr he thong trong tong rr
Prob.
0
0.65 r ngang
0
0
0.03
-4.12 ERB_vtc
- -4.09
54.6
0
psai vnindex
0.039%
rf 0.023%
ERB ((rj-rf)/psai)*beta tu so beta^2/nhieu
0.01 197.0249% 197.0249% 328.68
0 72.4031% 269.4280% 1230.48
0 10.2888% 279.7168% 411.77
0 20.9381% 300.6549% 1129.54
0 -31.6988% 268.9561% 189.85
100
-1.65
VAR(1 NGAY,VT,5%,)
-5.98
-5.5
-4.4
-4.7
-5.61
- var( 1 ngay,5%) var(1 ngay,vt,5%) var(1nam,5%) var(1nam,vt,5%)
-0.000822 -0.082163 -1.558941 -155.894091
-0.000824 -0.082370 -1.562854 -156.285422
-0.000847 -0.084732 -1.607685 -160.768520
-0.000780 -0.077971 -1.479391 -147.939097
-0.000881 -0.088111 -1.671781 -167.178098
-0.000812 -0.081216 -1.540963 -154.096312
-0.000841 -0.084138 -1.596407 -159.640702
-0.000931 -0.093050 -1.765502 -176.550152
-0.000752 -0.075158 -1.426013 -142.601330
-0.000763 -0.076265 -1.447020 -144.701999
σ²(I) σ² σ
0.0391% 0.03202% 0.02
0.0350% 0.02
0.0349% 0.02
0.0356% 0.02
0.0331% 0.02
- 2.5643% deu thuc thi tot
3.1044%
2.4069%
3.1626%
0.3266%
- P2 P3 P4 P5 P6 P7 P8
30% 35% 25% 35% 20% 30% 20%
30% 25% 30% 15% 40% 30% 15%
20% 20% 30% 10% 25% 15% 10%
10% 10% 10% 18% 10% 10% 10%
10% 10% 5% 22% 5% 15% 45%
5
PSAI DODAODONG
0 2.2315%
0 2.2343%
0 2.2661%
0 2.1738%
0 2.3109%
0 2.2186%
0 2.2582%
0 2.3747%
0 2.1342%
0 2.1499%
1 1 1 1 1
1
1
1
1
- p8 p9 p10 p11 p12 p13 p14
0.22000% 0.01500% 0.06000% 0.22000% 0.24000% 0.30000% 0.07000%
0.08385 0.07154 0.07424 0.08385 0.08505 0.09 0.07
0.57158 -0.01347 0.11496 0.57158 0.62866 0.8 0.14
0.30542 0.41323 0.38956 0.30542 0.29491 0.26 0.38
0.11075 0.28706 0.24836 0.11075 0.09355 0.04 0.24
-0.07160 0.24165 0.17289 -0.07160 -0.10216 -0.19 0.16
1.00000
p8 p9 p10 p11 p12 p13 p14
0.058% 0.047% 0.043% 0.058% 0.063% 0.083% 0.042%
2.414% 2.159% 2.067% 2.414% 2.519% 2.887% 2.057%
0.22000% 0.01500% 0.06000% 0.22000% 0.24000% 0.30000% 0.07000%
p14 mvp p2 p6 p15 p16 p4
0.07000% 0.086% 0.10000% 0.11000% 0.13000% 0.15000% 0.18000%
2.057% 2.052% 2.056% 2.064% 2.094% 2.140% 2.237%
0.070% 0.086% 0.100% 0.110% 0.130% 0.150% 0.180%
- 0.92
0.03 psai 0.099% la rr fi he thong
0.04 psai 0.132% la tong rr cua cphieu
0.033% rr he thong
ong trong tong rr 25.172%
0.0771%
- 0.53
0.03 psai 0.086% la rr fi he thong
0.03 psai 0.112% la tong rr cua cphieu
0.026% rr he thong
ong trong tong rr 23.649%
0.3409%
0.01
0.74
0.02 psai 0.049% la rr fi he thong
0.03 psai 0.071% la tong rr cua cphieu
0.022% rr he thong
ong trong tong rr 31.142%
0.0368%
0
nguon tai.lieu . vn